Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 424.418556 483.252569 548.883221 627.811611 720.534583 826.463033 957.288563
2025-10-12 349.067668 428.877149 526.378904 655.496810 823.839000 1038.442724 1336.880374
2025-10-19 299.507986 386.535439 499.372133 658.781125 882.081346 1189.731634 1656.348803
2025-10-26 257.873919 345.465776 464.329906 640.942519 902.864235 1287.193271 1913.729322
2025-11-02 228.043710 315.216235 438.152098 628.881761 926.132454 1387.322613 2189.849855
2025-11-09 212.453412 302.467349 434.135378 647.086547 995.441820 1566.669580 2628.526610
2025-11-16 194.633795 284.050077 418.942277 644.998160 1030.625348 1694.475146 3003.685843
2025-11-23 178.237286 265.843546 401.654505 636.577885 1052.783803 1801.850863 3362.687970
2025-11-30 166.662978 253.839215 392.589544 640.137033 1095.389102 1951.960286 3839.460579
2025-12-07 153.567827 238.082315 375.646504 627.686514 1106.459271 2043.134762 4212.753891
2025-12-14 143.424491 226.199469 363.893284 622.807476 1130.604555 2163.496690 4679.975972
2025-12-21 130.911985 209.287767 341.937209 596.608124 1109.137421 2185.293553 4919.088663
2025-12-28 127.089826 207.045613 345.671589 619.710103 1191.765777 2448.859908 5842.651726
2026-01-04 124.232099 206.227922 351.862446 648.377090 1290.891893 2770.874941 7030.899037
2026-01-11 118.147093 199.111045 345.741132 651.538985 1334.810572 2971.539822 7945.539633
2026-01-18 110.020835 187.644706 330.416299 633.936083 1329.081390 3048.172184 8511.943638
2026-01-25 103.332712 178.338248 318.431858 622.030708 1334.880768 3155.808032 9216.826917
2026-02-01 100.605816 176.230218 320.238781 640.000387 1415.038398 3479.328795 10779.192992
2026-02-08 95.916972 170.026335 313.359778 637.939033 1445.297740 3671.042313 11951.347893
2026-02-15 90.966251 162.967906 304.172105 629.627596 1458.368040 3816.107368 13009.660328
2026-02-22 87.546978 158.670658 300.294455 633.140772 1503.069304 4066.926168 14613.855788
2026-03-01 82.912286 151.650689 290.184065 620.850868 1503.289841 4179.243546 15680.773531
2026-03-08 79.276213 146.411971 283.459003 616.034613 1523.671233 4362.396754 17165.519345